USD/JPY at nine-month high as risk returns

The rebound in risk appetite post-Fed continued in the Asian session today, with equity markets rising, the yen in retreat and the US dollar steady to firmer.

USD/JPY at nine-month high

With the yen’s retreat, USD/JPY advanced as much as 0.22% to reach its highest level this year at 113.636. EUR/JPY snapped a two-day losing streak with gains of about 0.2% while AUD/JPY advance 0.24% to 81.91. The Euro is struggling for traction, still weighed down by the Italian budget news, where they appear to have settled for a higher 2019 debt to GDP ratio of 2.4% rather than the sub-2% level that had been talked about previously. EUR/USD is currently at 1.1647, holding above the 55-day moving average at 1.1618.

USD/JPY Daily Chart

Source: Oanda fxTrade


Still picking up the FOMC pieces and tying up a few loose ends


Equities push higher

The Japan225 CFD powered to its highest since the CFD began trading in 2003 while the China50 index added 0.33%. The Australia200 index is still recovering from its hefty seven-session slide which started on August 30. The index is up 0.1% today, though still below the 55-day moving average at 6,249.15 and is hovering near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the drop earlier this month, which is at 6,212.40.

Australia200 Daily Chart

Source: Oanda fxTrade


Euro-zone consumer prices seen rising

The European session features Euro-zone September CPI, where prices are seen rising at a faster pace than in August. Estimates suggest an increase of 2.1% y/y from 2.0%. The final reading of the UK’s Q2 GDP is not expected to see any change from the +0.4% q/q and +1.3% y/y prior readings, while German unemployment is expected to remain steady at 5.2% in September.

The Fed’s preferred inflation monitor, PCE price index, tops the US data slate along with personal income/expenditure numbers for August. September sentiment indices in the form of the Chicago PMI and Michigan sentiment complete the session. Fed’s Barkin (neutral, voter) is due to speak, but is unlikely to stray much from the Fed’s post-FOMC statement.

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Have a great weekend.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Andrew Robinson

Andrew Robinson

Senior Market Analyst at MarketPulse
A seasoned professional with more than 30 years’ experience in foreign exchange, interest rates and commodities, Andrew Robinson is a senior market analyst with OANDA, responsible for providing timely and relevant market commentary and live market analysis throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Having previously worked in Europe, since moving to Singapore he worked with several leading institutions including Bloomberg, Saxo Capital Markets and Informa Global Markets, proving FX strategies based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis as well as market flow information. Andrew began his career as an FX dealer with NatWest and the Royal Bank of Scotland in the UK.