25% chance of hard Brexit according to economists

There is a one chance in four that Britain will leave the European Union in March without a deal, a Reuters poll found, while the Bank of England will wait until after Brexit before raising borrowing costs again.

Reuters Aug. 29-Sept. 3 poll was conducted as pressure mounts on British Prime Minister Theresa May, who is struggling to sell what she calls her business-friendly Brexit to her own party and across a divided country.

With less than two months before Britain and the EU want to agree on the terms of Britain’s leaving the bloc, the two sides are still sparring.


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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam