USD/JPY – Japanese yen dips to 7-week low, inflation reports next

The Japanese yen has posted losses in the Tuesday session. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 111.27, up 0.38% on the day. On the release front, Japanese Preliminary Machine Tool Orders dropped to 11.4%. This marked a fifth straight decline. Later in the day, Japanese Core Machinery Tool Orders is expected to decline by 5.0%, and PPI is forecast to edge up to 2.8%. in the U.S, JOLTS Jobs Openings fell to 6.64 million, well below the estimate of 6.88 million. On Wednesday, U.S Core CPI and CPI are both expected to drop by 0.2%.

The Bank of Japan remains optimistic about the domestic economy. On Tuesday, BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said that all nine regions of the country were showing positive growth. Kuroda said that “Japan’s economy is expected to continue expanding moderately”. The BoJ credited the positive economic outlook to strong demand for Japanese exports, a tight job market and solid consumer spending. Kuroda expressed confidence that inflation will reach the BoJ target of 2 percent, a signal that the BoJ has no intention of altering monetary policy.

U.S employment data was a mix on Friday, as job growth remained above the 200-thousand level, but wage growth faltered. Nonfarm payrolls dropped to 213 thousand, but this beat the estimate of 195 thousand. Average Hourly Earnings edged lower to 0.2%, shy of the estimate of 0.3%. There was a surprise as the unemployment rate climbed to 4.0%, above the forecast of 3.8%. The data demonstrates that the U.S labor market remains strong, and the economy continues to perform well. The markets remain bullish on U.S growth, despite uncertainty in Europe and elsewhere, as well as the growing threat of an all-out trade war between the U.S and China.

  Commodities Weekly: Gold saved by dollar’s retracement

  All is quiet on the western trade war front

Tuesday (July 10)

  • 1:59 Japanese Preliminary Machine Tool Orders. Actual 11.4%
  • 5:10 US NFIB Small Business Index. Estimate 105.6. Actual 107.2
  • 10:00 US JOLTS Job Openings. Estimate 6.88M. Actual 6.64M
  • 19:50 Japanese Core Machinery Orders. Estimate -5.0%
  • 19:50 Japanese PPI. Estimate 2.8%

Wednesday (July 11)

  • 00:30 Japanese Tertiary Industry Activity. Estimate -0.4%
  • 8:30 US Core PPI. Estimate 0.2%
  • 8:30 US PPI. Estimate 0.2%
  • 10:00 US Final Wholesale Inventories. Estimate 0.5%
  • 10:30 US Crude Oil Inventories
  • 12:30 US FOMC Member Rafael Bostic Speaks
  • 13:01 US 10-year Bond Auction
  • 16:30 US FOMC Member John Williams Speaks

*All release times are DST

*Key events are in bold

USD/JPY for Tuesday, July 10, 2018

USD/JPY July 10 at 11:00 DST

Open: 110.85 High: 111.35 Low: 110.80 Close: 111.26

USD/JPY Technical

S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
109.21 110.21 111.22 112.30 113.75 114.73

USD/JPY edged higher in the Asian session. The pair inched higher in the European session and has been flat in North American trade

  • 111.22 is fluid. Currently, it is a weak support line
  • 112.30 is the next resistance line

Further levels in both directions:

  • Below: 111.22, 110.21, 109.21 and 108.13
  • Above: 112.30, 113.75 and 114.73
  • Current range: 111.22 to 112.30

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.