Keystone Cops Chase Crude Oil Higher

Keystone pipeline travails and a more substantial than expected drop in crude inventories saw crude gush higher in Asian trading.

WTI races higher in Asian trading as TransCanada announced it would reduce shipments by 85% on its Keystone crude pipeline until the end of November. It is due to its attempts to fix a leak in the pipeline and today’s announcement raised temperatures amongst traders as the pipeline carries 600,000 barrels of oil a day to U.S. refineries. The decision caught the street by surprise and implies both oppositions will increase again to the new Keystone XL pipeline, and that the initial leak may be a somewhat more serious problem than at first thought.

Overnight, crude had pushed higher, buoyed by the American Petroleum Institute (API) Crude Inventories, which showed a surprising 6.356 million drawdown against survey expectations of a 2.1 million barrel drop. Brent finished 0.80% higher at 62.75 and WTI climbed a respectable 1.30% to close at 56.80.

The favourable climate has continued in early Asia with Brent marching 0.80% higher to trade at 63.30. WTI was even more impressive, climbing another 1.35% to 57.65, leaving it within a hair’s breadth of its 2 ½ years highs at 57.80 set earlier this month. The street will be looking towards tonight’s official U.S. Crude Inventories for further confirmation that inventory drawdowns are back on track after last week’s glitch.

Brent Crude has resistance at 63.30 with a break reopening a test of its major resistance zone, the daily double tops at 64.40 and 64.85. Support remains at 62.25 followed by the far more significant 61.25, a series of four recent daily lows.

Brent Crude Daily

WTI spot looks the more interesting of the two contracts today. It appears poised to test the 57.80 high set last week, and a break will almost certainly trigger some stop-loss buying. The technical picture shows no resistance until 61.00, and thus a daily close above 57.80 sets the scene for a possibly significant new leg to the rally.  Support appears at 56.75, the day’s low followed by its medium-term trend line support at 55.75 that has held all pullbacks of the last two months in almost textbook fashion.

West Texas Intermediate

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Jeffrey Halley

Jeffrey Halley

Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific
With more than 30 years of FX experience – from spot/margin trading and NDFs through to currency options and futures – Jeffrey Halley is OANDA’s senior market analyst for Asia Pacific, responsible for providing timely and relevant macro analysis covering a wide range of asset classes. He has previously worked with leading institutions such as Saxo Capital Markets, DynexCorp Currency Portfolio Management, IG, IFX, Fimat Internationale Banque, HSBC and Barclays. A highly sought-after analyst, Jeffrey has appeared on a wide range of global news channels including Bloomberg, BBC, Reuters, CNBC, MSN, Sky TV, Channel News Asia as well as in leading print publications including the New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, among others. He was born in New Zealand and holds an MBA from the Cass Business School.
Jeffrey Halley
Jeffrey Halley

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