Is This a Red Flag For Another Financial Crisis?

Much has been made lately about how the CAPE ratio — a popular valuation measure applied to the S&P 500 SPX — has ballooned to levels not seen since the dot-com bubble, and before that, all the way back to 1929.

CAPE stands for cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings. It’s also known as the Shiller P/E ratio, named for the Yale professor who created it. While the metric has its share of critics, it’s still considered a standard measurement of market valuation.

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam