UK Election Results to Delay Brexit Negotiations Says Moodys

The UK’s hung parliament is likely to delay the Brexit negotiations and is “credit negative” for the country, ratings agency Moody’s has warned.

The inconclusive election result could also slow efforts to shrink the budget deficit as it will now be a lower priority for the Government. This is also bad for the country’s credit rating, Moody’s said in a report published on Monday.

“In our view, the budget deficit will increase this year and next as the Government reacts to the economic slowdown under way,” said Kathrin Muehlbronner, Moody’s senior vice president.

“The election outcome, with significant gains for the Labour Party which had campaigned for increased public spending, will likely be seen as a ‘vote against austerity’. The public debt ratio will rise further and for longer than we had expected.”

On the positive side, the ratings agency said the result made a hard Brexit less likely. Prime Minister Theresa May repeatedly said in the run-up to last week’s election that she was willing to walk away from talks with the EU if necessary, because “no deal is better than a bad deal”.

Following the disastrous result for Ms May’s Party, which was interpreted partly as a rejection of hard Brexit, the Government will likely have to soften that stance.

The Conservatives announced on Monday that they might delay the Queen’s Speech, which sets out the Government’s legislative agenda.

Via Independent

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza