UK House Prices Could Fall 0.8% in 2015

Britain’s housing market has reached a turning point with price growth expected to turn negative next year – but the market will avoid a crash, according to the latest forecasts.

Average house prices across the UK will dip by 0.8% in 2015, after growing by an estimated 7.8% this year, the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) predicted on Monday.

Inquiries from new buyers are already declining and properties are staying on the market for longer before they sell, leading to price declines in some parts of the UK. Affordability has become a real issue in the more expensive areas, such as London, with buyers starting to balk at high prices, the CEBR says.

“Price falls next year will be modest and we shouldn’t be too worried about this – we are not anticipating a crash. The market is adjusting after getting ahead of itself at the start of 2014,” said Scott Corfe, head of macroeconomics at CEBR and the main author of the report.

The new forecasts are being published amid other signs that the housing market is cooling.

Nationwide, the UK’s biggest building society, reported the first drop in house prices in 17 months in September, taking the average price tag to £188,374 while mortgage approvals for house purchases fell for the second month running in August, according to Bank of England figures.

New rules on the way mortgage customers must be assessed – known as mortgage market review – which came into effect in April are also being cited as a possible factor.

via The Guardian

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza