Mario Draghi, European Central Bank president, has warned that the Ukraine crisis is likely to have a serious impact on Russian economic growth – but it’s not yet clear how much it will hurt Europe.
Asked about the crisis, Draghi says the ECB did not discussed potential scenarios from the ongoing crisis over Crimea at today’s meeting (in which it left interest rates unchanged)
Draghi tells reporters that the ECB has seen a major impact on the Russian and Ukraine economy, and some impact on countries which border them.
He then warns that Russia’s economy will take a major hit.
The growth impact on the Russian economy is severe…. but it is very, very difficult to see what is going to be the impact over two or three years.
The short-term impact on energy prices, for example, is small – but it could be very significant in two years, depending how events play out.
“We poor central bankers” cannot predict how events will play out, he concludes.
via The Guardian
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