Sterling and UK Yields Drop as BoE Lowers Growth Forecasts

The pound slid from an 11-month high versus the dollar and U.K. government bonds rallied after the Bank of England voted to keep interest rates unchanged, while also cutting the country’s economic growth forecast.

Sterling dropped to its weakest level versus the euro this year as money markets showed traders pushed back expectations for a rate hike to November 2018 from August 2018 prior to the decision. The BOE’s Monetary Policy Committee voted 6-2 in favor of keeping rates unchanged at a record-low 0.25 percent. The central bank lowered its economic growth projections to 1.7 percent this year from 1.9 percent.

“The drop in sterling may suggest that some investors were betting on a surprise hawkishness from the meeting,” said Credit Agricole SA strategist Valentin Marinov in emailed comments. “The markets will continue to bet on a hike in 2H18, which could leave GBP back at square one.”

Bloomberg

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Currency Analyst at OANDA
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Sky News, Bloomberg, CNBC and BBC. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.