Oil in Trouble if OPEC Does Not Extend Agreement

Crude oil has slumped over 2 percent this year and could see more pain ahead if OPEC does not stick to production cuts it agreed upon in December.

“I think oil is in a very dangerous zone now precisely because demand is not there,” Boris Schlossberg, BK Asset Management’s managing director of foreign exchange strategy, said Wednesday on CNBC’s “Power Lunch.”

A build in crude oil inventory Wednesday as reported by the Energy Information Administration in fact sent oil higher, settling up 17 cents to $52.34.

“The irony of this whole thing is that OPEC cuts are holding, but the demand is not there. And the longer oil wallows at this $52 level, the more likely it’s actually going to go to the downside. And if it trips to $50 a barrel stops, I think it could really tumble very quickly. So I think we’re in a perilous territory,” Schlossberg said, adding that he wouldn’t be long crude oil at this juncture.

OPEC agreed in December for the first time since 2008 to cut output by 1.2 million barrels per day.

via CNBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza