60% of Japanese Companies Expect Economy to Grow in 2017

About 60 percent of major Japanese companies surveyed expect the economy to grow in 2017 on recovering consumer spending and hopes that U.S. president-elect Donald Trump’s policies will boost the U.S. economy, a Kyodo News survey showed Monday.

But that percentage is down from 90 percent that forecast growth in a similar survey a year earlier, as many Japanese companies are concerned by Trump’s unpredictability, political inexperience and oft-stated intention to radically overhaul U.S. trade policy.

Of the 108 companies surveyed between late November and early December, including Toyota Motor Corp. and Sony Corp., 63 said they expect the economy will expand this year, of which 61 expect moderate growth. Forty-one said they expect no growth, while two projected a moderate contraction.

Asked in a multiple choice question why they think the economy will expand, 32 companies cited rebounding consumer spending, 23 pointed to stepped-up capital spending, and 19 companies specified the improving U.S. economy as reasons.

The survey shows many Japanese companies envision growth driven by increasing external demand given that Trump has pledged to slash U.S. taxes and boost government spending on infrastructure and public works.

However, 59 companies — or just over half — said that they have no idea how U.S.-Japan relations may change under the incoming Trump administration, evidence of the major uncertainty engendered by the president-elect’s “America First” stance. Trump has also vowed to withdraw the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership on his first day in office.

via Mainichi

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza