Morgan Stanley Says No US Rate Hike Until 2018

Don’t look for a rise in U.S. interest rates until 2018, Morgan Stanley strategists said on Monday as they released their latest outlook.

The Federal Reserve won’t be able to hike rates this year or next year because U.S. economic growth will let down the bulls, according to these strategists.

“We think global growth really disappoints over the next 12 months — particularly in developed markets, particularly in the U.S,” said Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley’s chief cross-asset strategist, on Monday.

His bank sees the U.S. economy expanding by 1.5% in 2017, while the consensus view is 2.3%, he said at a press briefing in London.

Morgan Stanley’s strategists recommend that investors continue to favor U.S. stocks as the Fed stands pat on rates until 2018. They’ve reiterated their call for investors to be overweight U.S. equities, as shown in the graphic below. Low rates generally have been seen as supporting stocks.

via MarketWatch

Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, he established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza