U.S. Treasury Yields May be Topping

Treasury yields shot higher Wednesday morning and then fell back like a deflating balloon.  That could be a sign of a top, at least for the 10-year note.

MacNeil Curry, global head of technical strategy at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said he was looking for a top between 2.305 and 2.328 percent on the 10-year yield. “That was the zone we were looking for because it was the top of the channel from the January highs of 2014. This whole downtrend started back in January, a year and a half ago,” he said.

The 10-year yield overshot his target, reaching a high of 2.36 percent.  “You had a whole bunch of momentum divergences, which is often a precursor to a market turn, indicating the trend is getting ready to exhaust itself. The 2.238 is a big swing target,” he said.