Oil Falls Below $80 on Rising Supplies and Global Slowdown

West Texas Intermediate crude fell below $80 a barrel for the first time since June 2012 amid speculation rising U.S. supplies are exacerbating a global glut. Brent fell to its lowest in nearly four years.

Futures slid as much as 2.4 percent in New York, declining for the seventh time in eight days. WTI’s losses have accelerated since it dropped below $100 a barrel in July. The contract plunged about 25 percent in the past three months.

Prices have collapsed amid speculation that Saudi Arabia and other members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries will refrain from cuts needed to drain a surplus, according to Commerzbank AG.

“Eighty is the new $100,” Eugen Weinberg, Commerzbank’s Frankfurt-based head of commodities research, said by phone. “OPEC still seems to be waiting for the market to find a bottom. For the longer-term $80 should be a solid floor.”

WTI for November delivery dropped as much as $2 to $79.78 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $80.35 at 1:43 p.m. London time. It traded below $80 for the first time since June 29, 2012. Prices have decreased 18 percent this year.

Brent for November settlement, which expires today, declined as much as $1.18, or 1.4 percent, to $82.60 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange, the lowest since November 2010. The more-active December contract was down 92 cents at $83.20. The European benchmark traded at a premium of $2.74 a barrel to WTI on ICE.

via Bloomberg

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza