Oil Falls Waiting for Yellen and Strong Inventories

West Texas Intermediate crude headed for a fifth weekly decline, the longest falling streak in nine months, while investors await a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. Brent slipped amid adequate supplies.

Futures declined 0.4 percent in New York, bringing the weekly loss to 3.9 percent. Traders are watching for signs of the timing of interest-rate increases from Yellen, who speaks today at a Fed symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. A preliminary gauge of Chinese manufacturing missed estimates yesterday, bolstering concerns that demand growth will slow.

“The main pressure is because of the oversupply we see in the market,” Hans van Cleef, energy economist at ABN Amro Bank NV in Amsterdam, said by phone. “There’s a lot of cash at the moment that needs to be invested somewhere, perhaps in commodities. If something comes out of the meeting that will hurt the amount of money, it certainly will not be supportive.”

WTI for October delivery dropped 39 cents to $93.57 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:22 p.m. London time. The volume of all futures traded was about 35 percent below the 100-day average for the time of day. Front-month prices have decreased 4.9 percent this year.

Brent for October settlement declined 26 cents to $102.37 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark crude traded at a premium of $8.78 to WTI on ICE, compared with $8.21 at the end of last week.

via Bloomberg

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza