Brent Crude – Oil volatile ahead of next week’s OPEC+ meeting

  • OPEC+ moves meeting from 26th to 30th November
  • Oil pares losses after initial plunge
  • Brent remains near 4-month lows

Oil has remained quite volatile today after briefly plunging on Wednesday following reports that OPEC+ has decided to push back its meeting from 16th to 20th November.

The initial market reaction appeared to suggest traders view this as a lack of unity behind supply cuts going into the new year but it wasn’t long until oil reversed those moves.

While there has been more speculation over the day, we may have to wait until the virtual meeting on the 30th to learn just how unified the group remains and whether Saudi Arabia and Russia will need to do any additional heavy lifting in order to keep prices high.

Settling near $80 ahead of OPEC+ meeting

While oil prices have been very volatile recently, Brent appears to be fluctuating around $80, a level that could make the decision more difficult.

BCOUSD Daily

Source – OANDA on Trading View

This is thought to be the breakeven price for Saudi Arabia, the defacto leader of OPEC and the country that has cut output by an additional one million barrels per day.

Brent may be forming an inverse head and shoulders around this level, with the neckline falling around the 200/233-day simple moving average band. A break above here could be a bullish signal but may depend on the group extending current cuts or even deepening them.

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam