German Government Cuts 2015 Growth Forecast to 1.7 Percent

The German government slightly lowered its growth forecast on Wednesday to 1.7 percent for this year, blaming an economic slowdown in China and other emerging markets, but it confirmed its prediction of a 1.8-percent expansion next year.

In April, the government had forecast growth of 1.8 percent for Europe’s largest economy for this year.

“The German economy is continuing to grow. It remains on track despite the subdued outlook for the global economy with weaker growth in China and commodity-rich emerging markets,” Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel said.

The Economy Ministry estimated exports would surge by 5.4 percent this year and by 4.2 percent next year while imports would increase by 5.9 percent and 5.3 percent respectively.

That means foreign trade will only make a small contribution to growth this year. Private consumption will probably be the only pillar of support next year, the ministry said.


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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.