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Daily Markets Broadcast 2019-08-01

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Daily Markets Broadcast

2019-08-01

Wall Street tumbles as Fed fails to match dovish expectations

It was no surprise that the Fed cut its benchmark rate by 25bps yesterday, but Powell’s comments that it may not be the start of a long-term easing cycle sparked a sell-off across the board. US and China concluded this round of trade talks. The next round will be in Washington early September.

 

US30USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The US30 index fell the most in 2-1/2 months after Powell’s comments, touching the lowest in three weeks
  • The index is heading toward the 55-day moving average at 26,417, which has supported prices on a closing basis since June 6
  • The start of a new month sees the release of the ISM manufacturing PMI for July. It’s seen improving to 52.0 from 51.7, though the Chicago PMI for the same month released yesterday showed a dramatic drop to the lowest level since December 2015.

 

DE30EUR Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The Germany30 index closed higher yesterday, helped by strong results from Airbus
  • The index tested support at the 100-day moving average at 12,099, which held on a closing basis, as it has done since February 14
  • The final reading of the Markit manufacturing PMI for July is due today and is expected to be revised higher to 45.4 from 43.1 at the first estimate. The Euro-zone equivalent is seen holding steady at 46.4.

 

WTICOUSD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • WTI prices closed lower yesterday after earlier touching two week highs as Powell’s comments muddied the outlook on rates, which caused demand expectations to be scaled back
  • Prices are currently trapped between the 100-day moving average resistance at $59.176 and 55-day moving average support at $56.839
  • WTI fell yesterday despite the EIA’s weekly stockpiles data showing another hefty drawdown in the week to July 26. The deficit was 8.5 million barrels, well above economists’ forecasts of a 2.6 million shortfall.

 

 

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Andrew Robinson

Andrew Robinson

Senior Market Analyst at MarketPulse
A seasoned professional with more than 30 years’ experience in foreign exchange, interest rates and commodities, Andrew Robinson is a senior market analyst with OANDA, responsible for providing timely and relevant market commentary and live market analysis throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Having previously worked in Europe, since moving to Singapore he worked with several leading institutions including Bloomberg, Saxo Capital Markets and Informa Global Markets, proving FX strategies based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis as well as market flow information. Andrew began his career as an FX dealer with NatWest and the Royal Bank of Scotland in the UK.
Andrew Robinson

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