BMO Says Amazon Could Miss Earnings Estimate

Amazon is expected to report its second-quarter earnings on Thursday but one analyst at BMO is warning investors that Wall Street’s estimates for the next quarter “are too high,” especially for the company’s operating income (OI).

“We think 3Q OI guidance will come in below consensus as we do not believe consensus properly reflects the fact that 3Q is often a heavy investment period and continued investment in one-day shipping,” BMO analyst Daniel Salmon wrote in a note on Tuesday.

BMO expects that in its coming earnings report that Amazon will note about $850 million in spending for the third quarter, “related to the move to one-day shipping,” Salmon said. Despite the caution, BMO told investors to buy “any pullback” in the stock if the forecast does come in lower than expected. The firm has an outperform rating on Amazon shares with a price target of $2,250.

“We continue to view Amazon as a structural Outperform due to the positive revenue mix shift of adding higher-margin businesses like AWS and advertising which we believe will support margin expansion over the long term,” Salmon said.

via CNBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza