- SNB leaves its policy rate unchanged at 1.75%
- Chair Jordan signals further hikes likely won’t be necessary
- USDCHF testing major resistance level after decision
The SNB refrained from raising interest rates earlier today, instead signaling that sufficient tightening has taken place in order to get inflation back to below 2% over the forecast horizon.
While inflation is already well below 2%, there was an expectation that the central bank would hike again and in effect mirror the actions of the ECB before calling it a day.
The decision did see the Swiss franc weaken against the euro, as you’d expect, despite Chair Jordan’s attempts to strike a hawkish tone in warning rates could still rise again if they deemed it necessary.
That seems very unlikely now though, instead, it will soon become a question of when we can expect rate cuts rather than hikes.
Another bullish breakout coming?
The dollar has been in a downtrend against the Swiss franc for much of the last 10 months but a breakout earlier this month signaled a change may be underway.
Source – OANDA on Trading View
Having broken above the descending channel, the pair is now testing the 200/233-day simple moving average band and it’s already seeing some resistance.
A break above 0.91 could be a very bullish move as not only would it represent a move above that key moving average band, but it would also break a key level of support and resistance from this year.
There are perhaps some signs of weakness appearing in the momentum indicators, which would be understandable given the significance of 0.91.
If we do see a pullback, 0.8820-0.8860 could be interesting, being a previously important area of support and resistance and roughly coinciding with the 55/89-day SMA band.
Content is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., please access the RSS feed or contact us at email@example.com. Visit https://www.marketpulse.com/ to find out more about the beat of the global markets. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.