European update – Risk aversion remains

Markets back in the red as tariffs increased

European markets are mostly lower at the start of the week and the US is expected to open even deeper in the red after talks between the US and China broke down and tariffs were increased.

Source – Thomson Reuters Eikon

The talks appeared to be going quite smoothly until a week ago when the cracks started to appear, since when markets have given up a chunk of their first quarter gains. There is still some hope that a deal can be reached, with a possible meeting at next month’s G20 being touted between Trump and Xi in an attempt to break the impasse.

It will now be interesting to see just how much conviction there is in the first quarter rebound, with the prospect of a Sino-US deal a big contributor to the improved sentiment in the markets. Of course, there were other important factors as well and central banks have made a significant effort to alleviate those concerns but trade tariffs are a major concern at a time when global growth is already expected to slow.

Economic Calendar

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst - UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and BNN. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam