Gold edges higher as investors look for cues and clues

Gold has posted slight losses in the Wednesday session, erasing the gains seen on Tuesday. In North American trade, the spot price for one ounce of gold is $1312.33, down 0.21% on the day. In economic news, there was positive news as the trade deficit narrowed to $49.3 billion in November, down from the previous reading of $55.7 billion. This marked the lowest deficit in 5 months. On Thursday, the U.S. releases unemployment claims.

President Trump’s State of the Union address was a yawner as far as the markets were concerned, but there were some points of interests for investors. Trump spoke about the U.S-China trade war, reiterating that the U.S. would demand “real structural change” from China before a trade deal could be reached. American policymakers have long demanded that China desist from intellectual theft against U.S. companies, and with China experiencing a slowdown, the Chinese may have to make concessions or face further tariffs in March. A third round of negotiations between the sides is scheduled for this month, raising hopes that the U.S. will not impose further tariffs on China in early March. Trump also announced that he will meet North Korean leader Kim in late February, an event which could bolster risk appetite and weigh on gold prices.

Quiet midweek eyed ahead of May’s Brussels visit

Dollar drives higher

BoC: The Canadian Approach to Foreign Reserves Management

XAU/USD Fundamentals

Wednesday (February 6)

  • 8:30 US Trade Balance. Estimate -54.0B. Actual -49.3B
  • 10:30 US Crude Oil Inventories. Estimate 1.3M
  • 13:01 US 10-year Bond Auction
  • 18:05 US FOMC Member Quarles Speaks
  • 19:00 Fed Chair Powell Speaks

Thursday (February 7)

  • 8:30 US Unemployment Claims. Estimate 220K

*All release times are EST

*Key events are in bold

XAU/USD for Wednesday, February 6, 2019

XAU/USD February 6 at 11:00 EST

Open: 1315.18 High: 1315.87 Low: 1311.66 Close: 1312.33

XAU/USD Technical

S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
1261 1284 1306 1326 1344 1365

XAU/USD showed limited movement in the Asian session. The pair posted small losses in the European session and is steady in North American trade

  • 1306 is providing support
  • 1326 is the next resistance line
  • Current range: 1306 to 1326

Further levels in both directions:

  • Below: 1306, 1284, 1261 and 1236
  • Above: 1326, 1344 and 1365

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.