Gold under pressure as all eyes on US voters

Gold has posted slight losses in the Tuesday session. In North American trade, the spot price for one ounce of gold is $1227.67, down 0.34% on the day. On the release front, JOLTS Jobs Openings slipped to 7.01 million, well short of the estimate of 6.14 million. On Tuesday, U.S voters go to the polls in congressional elections, with control of the Senate and the House too close to call.

It is election day in the United States, and voter turnout appears to be heavy. Many analysts are calling the election a referendum on the presidency of Donald Trump, who has presided over a red-hot economy but has also alienated many voters with his controversial policies on health care and immigration. There are a host of races that are too close to call, but most analysts expect the Democrats to narrowly win the House while the Republicans will hold onto their majority in the Senate. If this scenario materializes, the result would be ‘political gridlock’, which could hamper Trump’s fiscal policy plans, which in turn could result in the Federal Reserve easing on its rate hike plans. Traders should expect some volatility in the currency markets once the results are announced.

Another key event this week which could affect gold prices is the Federal Reserve policy meeting on Thursday. The Fed is expected to maintain interest rate levels, with a 93% likelihood that the Fed will stay on the sidelines. However, the rate statement will be scrutinized, with investors looking for clues regarding future monetary policy, as well as the Fed’s view of the economy. If the Fed sounds optimistic about the economy, gold prices could come under pressure.

 

XAU/USD Fundamentals

Tuesday (November 6)

  • 10:00 US JOLTS Job Openings. Estimate 7.09M. Actual 7.01M
  • All Day  – US Congressional Elections

*All release times are EST

*Key events are in bold

 

XAU/USD for Tuesday, November 6, 2018

XAU/USD November 6 at 11:20 DST

Open: 1231.82 High: 1235.95 Low: 1227.16 Close: 1227.67

 

XAU/USD Technical

S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
1170 1204 1220 1236 1261 1284

XAU/USD edged lower in the Asian session. The pair posted considerable gains in European trade but has retracted in the North American session

  • 1220 is providing support
  • 1236 is the next resistance line
  • Current range: 1220 to 1236

Further levels in both directions:

  • Below: 1220, 1204, 1170 and 1146
  • Above: 1236, 1261 and 1284

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.