EUR/USD expected to trade lower

The euro has been expected to fall against a broadly robust U.S. dollar for some time and it finally appears to be succumbing to sustained selling pressure, hovering around a three-month low.

What’s changed for the single currency, analysts say, is a clear commitment from the European Central Bank at last week’s policy meeting to keep interest rates low for some time – a policy that contrasts sharply with a Federal Reserve that could start unwinding its monetary stimulus later this year.

The euro hit a three-month low on Tuesday at about $1.2754 after Italy’s sovereign credit rating was cut by ratings agency Standard & Poor’s and ECB policymaker Joerg Asmussen was reported saying that the ECB’s guidance on interest rates staying at record lows extends beyond 12 months.

Although the ECB issued a statement saying that Asmussen had not intended to give any guidance on the length of time that rates would stay low, strategists say the comments highlight the divergence between U.S. and European monetary policy.


This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Mingze Wu

Mingze Wu

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Based in Singapore, Mingze Wu focuses on trading strategies and technical and fundamental analysis of major currency pairs. He has extensive trading experience across different asset classes and is well-versed in global market fundamentals. In addition to contributing articles to MarketPulseFX, Mingze centers on forex and macro-economic trends impacting the Asia Pacific region.
Mingze Wu