USD/CAD continues to point upwards on Tuesday. The pair broke above the 1.12 line on Tuesday, after Canadian GDP slipped to 0.0%. In the US, CB Consumer Confidence fell to 86.0 points, well short of expectations.
The Canadian dollar has been no match for the US dollar, losing about 200 points last week. The loonie has stabilized since then, but remains under strong pressure. The currency didn’t get any help as Canadian GDP posted a flat 0.0%, down from the previous release of 0.3%. Canadian GDP is released monthly, unlike most other developed countries which post GDP on a quarterly basis. The key indicator fell short of the estimate of 0.2% and this could put more pressure on the shaky Canadian dollar. Meanwhile, Canadian inflation levels remain at very low levels, as the Raw Materials Price Index came in at -2.2%, marking its third decline in four readings.
Earlier in the week, US Pending Home Sales posted a decline of 1.0%, compared to last month’s gain of 3.3%. The important housing indicator has shown strong movement, resulting in readings that have been well off market estimates. US housing indicators continue to paint a mixed picture, as New Home Sales jumped last month, while Existing Home Sales softened and was well short of expectations.
USD/CAD for Tuesday, September 30, 2014
USD/CAD September 30 at 15:05 GMT
USD/CAD 1.1179 H: 1.1205 L: 1.1135
- USD/CAD edged lower in the Asian session. The pair posted strong gains in the European session, touching a high of 1.1208. USD/CAD is steady in North American trade.
- 1.1124 is the next support line. 1.1004 is stronger.
- 1.1278 is a strong resistance line. It has remained intact since March.
- Current range: 1.1124 to 1.1278
Further levels in both directions:
- Below: 1.1124, 1.1004, 1.0961, 1.0852 and 1.0775
- Above: 1.1278, 1.1414, 1.1493 and 1.1669
OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio
USD/CAD ratio is pointing to gains in long positions on Tuesday. This is consistent with the movement of the pair, as the US dollar has posted slight gains. The ratio has a majority of short positions, indicating trader bias towards the Canadian dollar moving to higher ground.
- 12:30 Canadian GDP. Estimate 0.2%. Actual 0.0%.
- 12:30 Canadian Raw Materials Price Index . Estimate -1.7%. Actual -2-2%.
- 12:30 Canadian Industrial Product Price Index. Estimate -0.2%. Actual +0.2%.
- 13:00 US S&P Composite-20 HPI. Estimate 7.5%. Actual 6.7%.
- 13:45 US Chicago PMI. Estimate 61.6 points. Actual 60.5 points.
- 14:00 US CB Consumer Confidence. Estimate 92.2 points. Actual 86.0 points.
* Key releases are in highlighted bold.
*All release times are GMT