Goldman Sachs Bearish on BRIC

Goldman Sachs says it has ended a recommendation to buy a basket of U.S. stocks with the highest sales exposure to Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) and instead prefers U.S. firms with most exposure to the domestic market – just one more sign that sentiment towards emerging markets is fading fast.

The U.S. investment bank said its decision was based on revised expectations for slower growth in China, the world’s second largest economy. Goldman last week cut its 2013 China growth forecast to 7.4 percent from 7.8 percent.

“The contrast between accelerating U.S. GDP [gross domestic product] growth and weakening and uncertain China growth represents a headwind to U.S. firms with high BRICs [Brazil, Russia, India, China] sales relative to domestic-facing firms,” Goldman Sachs said in a note published on Monday.

It estimates that the median company in its basket of U.S. stocks with the highest BRIC exposure will grow sales by 3 percent this year, compared with 6 percent for a basket of U.S. stocks with most exposure to domestic sales.

Sentiment towards emerging markets has been hit hard in recent weeks by concerns about an unwinding in U.S. monetary stimulus and signs that China’s economy is slowing faster than anticipated.


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Mingze Wu

Mingze Wu

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Based in Singapore, Mingze Wu focuses on trading strategies and technical and fundamental analysis of major currency pairs. He has extensive trading experience across different asset classes and is well-versed in global market fundamentals. In addition to contributing articles to MarketPulseFX, Mingze

centers on forex and macro-economic trends impacting the Asia Pacific region.
Mingze Wu