USD/CAD below 1.36 as Oil Price Stabilizes

The USD/CAD lost 0.17 percent as the USD retreated across the board ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision announcement on December 16. There was no data to guide investors as the agenda was empty for both U.S. and Canadian releases with left the pair trading at 1.3565. West Texas crude recovered 0.36 percent in the past 24 hours in a volatile trading session that printed highs of $38.58 and lows of $36.49 but the WTI priced settled at $37.02

The stockpile of U.S. crude fell by 3.6 million barrels according to the Energy Information Administration EIA when the forecast called for a gain of about half a million barrels. The price of oil could not capitalize on the drop in crude supply given that refined oil also surprised with a larger than expected increase. The larger stockpile of distillates offset the earlier gains on lower crude inventories. Warmer than usual weather is blamed for distillate demand being lower. The worldwide supply glut of crude and refined oil means that U.S. producers have nowhere to send the excess inventory, putting further downward pressure on the price of oil.

The Canadian dollar will get little guidance from economic releases as the current week looks very thin on the economic calendar. The New Housing Price Index (NHPI) will be published on Thursday, December 10 at 8:30 am. U.S. economic indicators to note are the U.S. unemployment claims published on Thursday and the retail sales figures on Friday, December 11.

CAD events to watch this week:

Thursday, December 10
8:30 am USD Unemployment Claims
Friday, December 11
8:30 am USD Core Retail Sales m/m
8:30 am USD PPI m/m
8:30 am USD Retail Sales m/m
10:00 am USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

*All times EST
For a complete list of scheduled events in the forex market visit the MarketPulse Economic Calendar

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency
trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza