Oil returns to range, gold crushed by hawkish Powell

Back into range

Just as oil prices appeared to be gathering some momentum, Powell put an abrupt end to hopes of a breakout on Tuesday and sent them back to the middle of their recent range. Optimism over the Chinese recovery is one thing but if large parts of the global economy are going to stall or go into recession, oil prices are going to struggle to surge higher. Barring, of course, interventions on the supply side which we’ve heard relatively little about recently. Once more, the jobs report on Friday could be a major driver of sentiment over the short-term.

Holding near key support

This is probably going to be one of the most hotly anticipated job reports in some time and it could have significant consequences across various asset classes. Gold is always very sensitive to developments on this front and that will be especially true after Powell’s comments.

The yellow metal got crushed by his comments on Tuesday and may be sensitive to them again today. But it’s also now vulnerable to Friday if things don’t go its way, with it now lingering close to $1,800, the upper end of a big support region that, if broken, could signal troubling times ahead.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar: www.marketpulse.com/economic-events/

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam