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Oil slides again, gold grooves on

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Oil

Oil is extending declines on concerns that China’s struggles with COVID are not going away anytime soon and as the global economic worries persist as central banks take rates into very restrictive territory. ​ Crude is not getting extra demand this winter as warm weather spans across the US and Europe. ​ ​

Despite all this oil price weakness, the technicals, specifically driven by the Biden administration’s intention to buy up crude at around the $70 level to refill the strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) should provide some key support. The demand outlook might be near rock bottom, which could suggest a strong reversal for oil could be right around the corner. ​ ​

Gold

Gold is having a great start to the New Year. ​ Wall Street continues to pile into gold as global bond yields continue to slide and recessionary risks remain elevated. Many traders are growing confident that the end of the Fed’s tightening cycle is nearing and that rate cuts could happen at the end of the year. ​

Gold is eyeing the $1900 level, but for that to happen we’ll need to see the bond market rally remain in place a while longer.

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Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Contributing Author at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya was a Senior Market Analyst with OANDA for the Americas from November 2018 to November 2023. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Prior to OANDA he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business, cheddar news, and CoinDesk TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most respected global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Seeking Alpha, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
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