Oil around USD 100, gold edges upwards

Oil hovers around USD 100 after OPEC+ decision

Oil prices are a little higher after OPEC+ reportedly agreed to increase output targets by 100,000 barrels per day in September. The move fell in line with speculation of a small increase leading into the meeting. Of course, with so many countries failing to hit current targets, and by a distance in some cases, the key factor here will be the make-up of the increase. If spread evenly, the net increase will be much lower as we’ve seen so often. For this to have an impact, the shortfall needs to be addressed.

Gold recovering after Fed blow

Gold is edging higher again this morning after suffering a setback on Tuesday. The yellow metal had been testing key resistance in the USD 1,780-1,800 region before a Fed offensive sought to push back against the “dovish pivot” narrative that’s circulated since the July meeting.

It seems the Fed is of the view that traders have got ahead of themselves and wanted to make clear that data-dependency means nothing unless the data itself improves, which there’s little sign of it doing currently. That knocked gold back towards USD 1,750 and it’s been a rather sluggish recovery since.

Whether the Fed warnings will stick or just came at an opportune moment when yields, the dollar and gold were primed for profit taking, time will tell. Traders don’t always like to dance to the tune of the Fed and this year, they’ve benefited from not doing so.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam
Craig Erlam

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