Oil slides again, gold vulnerable to technical selling

Oil falls as demand eases

Oil prices softened after softer economic data in the US and Europe confirmed fears that crude demand destruction is happening. The oil market however remains very tight and declining production should prevent prices from falling below the USD 100 a barrel level. ​ Libya’s oil production is falling as disruptions continue from political protests.

Oil CEOs and energy secretary Granholm are meeting in what is basically grandstanding to show an effort is being made to provide Americans some relief at the pump.

Crude prices may remain heavy until Wall Street is done fully pricing in an economic slowdown that will bring this economy on the verge of a recession.


Gold was unable to hold onto earlier gains as another round of hawkish talk and rising recession fears weakened demand for most commodities. ​ Gold will stabilize once Wall Street is confident they have a handle on how high the Fed will take interest rates.

Gold could be vulnerable to further selling as it has broken below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). ​ Gold should find support around the USD 1800 level as rising recession risks will weigh on Treasury yields. ​ Gold will eventually emerge as an attractive asset as investors look to diversify away from bonds.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Senior Market Analyst, The Americas at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a senior market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute intermarket analysis, coverage of geopolitical events, central bank policies and market reaction to corporate news. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business and Sky TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most renowned global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Breitbart, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
Ed Moya