Oil market remains tight, gold lower ahead of Fed

Oil gains on tight supplies, China concerns

Crude prices rallied as energy traders focus on the supply-demand imbalance that shows no signs of easing and shrugs off China COVID concerns and the early signs of crude demand destruction in the US. Gasoline prices are above five dollars a gallon nationally and no relief is expected anytime soon.  Refiners need to get diesel inventories higher otherwise we could see some shortages in the near future.

President Biden will visit Saudi Arabia in the middle of July, but that relationship is nowhere near being repaired and expectations for some agreement for more Saudi oil production seems very unlikely. The oil market remains supported here and until demand destruction becomes more noticeable, crude prices will remain supported.



Gold prices are consolidating above the USD 1800 level ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision.  The FOMC decision will deliver the moment for gold traders.  Traders are trying to calculate how aggressive the Fed will be with raising interest rates for the rest of the year.

Gold got a mini boost after a report on producer prices showed promise as core prices continue to come down from the peak. Regardless of how hawkish Powell is at the post-FOMC decision conference, a widening interest differential for the dollar against its major trading partners will make life hard for gold over the short-term. A break of the USD 1800 level might not see much support until the USD 1765 region.

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Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Senior Market Analyst, The Americas at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a senior market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute intermarket analysis, coverage of geopolitical events, central bank policies and market reaction to corporate news. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business and Sky TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most renowned global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Breitbart, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
Ed Moya