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Commodities and Cryptos: Crude’s great week, Gold extends losses, Bitcoin rebounds

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Oil

Crude prices have been on fire, rising for a sixth straight week as the demand outlook improves and over geopolitical fears could lead to severe production disruptions. The supply side continues to support a tight market as OPEC+ is expected to stick to their plan of increasing output by 400,000 bpd in March, even though their compliance last month only hit 60% of plan.

Now that $90 oil is here, it won’t take much to get prices to $100 and that will just intensify the global energy crisis.  News of an Omicron subvariant have not rattled markets as boosters appear to still be getting the job done.

WTI crude settled near session lows after the weekly Baker Hughes rig count data rose by 4 rigs to a total of 495.

Gold

Gold’s pain may last a little longer until the Fed’s aggressive pivot with tackling inflation is fully priced in.  The $1,800 level was a key support level for gold, so momentum selling has the potential to make this an interesting trade.  If it gets ugly quick and $1760 breaks, gold may not see much support until $1720.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin is embracing Wall Street’s risk-on mood as it continues to form a base.  The all-clear signal has not been given, but crypto traders are embracing the relative calm that is being seen with the top cryptos.  Bitcoin may form a broadening formation between $34,000 and $40,000 next week.

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Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Contributing Author at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya was a Senior Market Analyst with OANDA for the Americas from November 2018 to November 2023. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Prior to OANDA he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business, cheddar news, and CoinDesk TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most respected global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Seeking Alpha, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
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