NAS100 – Correction complete?

Or further to go?

It’s been a shaky start to the new year, with interest rate anxieties dragging on sentiment and hitting the NAS100 particularly hard.

The index fell more than 8% over the last week, breaking through key support in the process which could have led to a much deeper correction. Instead, the index bounced strongly in the final hours of trading on Monday and failed to close below the rising channel.

While a deeper correction could still be on the cards, the false breakout – as it now appears to have been – could signal the end of the panic in tech stocks.

If the index can overcome a few key tests above – potentially aided by earnings season which is about to get underway – it could continue the trend we’ve seen since the lows of March 2020.

The first test is around 15,900-15,922, where prior resistance combines with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Above here, around 16,100-16,150 will be interesting, combining the 50/89-day SMA band, with the 61.8 fib and the 55/89 and 200/233-period SMA bands on the 4-hour chart.

A move above here could see the NAS100 gather pace to the upside.

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Former Craig

Former Craig

Former Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.