EUR/USD – Larger correction on the cards?

Or is the downtrend continuing?

EURUSD is already running into resistance, so quickly after rebounding off the lows around 1.12 late last week.

The euro started to make its comeback in recent days after coming under a lot of pressure this month but already it’s seeing resistance around 1.14, the first major test to the upside.

This coincides with the most recent area of resistance, as well as the 38.2% retracement of the late October highs to November lows and the bottom of the descending channel it broke below.

Having rebounded so aggressively, it would be natural to think that’s bearish. After such a large decline, such a shallow correction would be very negative if it breaks new lows.

But with price recovering well after the rebound off 1.14, perhaps a larger correction is on the cards. The key level remains 1.14 to the upside, with 1.15 above here then be massive.

There is some notable resistance before, like 1.1440 – 50 fib – but 1.15 is key. This coincides with the 61.8 fib, 200/233-period SMA on the 4-hour chart and maybe the top of the channel. A move above here would be very bullish over the medium term.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA at OANDA
Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.
Craig Erlam
Craig Erlam

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