Swiss franc jumps as greenback retreats

The US dollar has shown broad declines on Thursday, and the Swiss franc has jumped on the bandwagon. The Swiss currency has broken below the 91 level today and USD/CHF is at its lowest level since mid-June. If the dollar’s downswing continues, the round number of 90, which has psychological importance, could find itself under pressure.

Swiss data was a disappointment earlier the week, as the June ZEW Survey Expectations fell to 42.8, a sharp drop from 51.3 beforehand. Back in April, the index was at 72.2, and the sharp slowdown in business conditions is cause for concern.

On Friday, we’ll get another look at the health of the economy, with the release of the July KoF Economic Barometer (7:00 GMT). This index is also in a downturn, as the June reading slipped to 133.4, down from 133.2 points. The slowdown is expected to continue, with a consensus of 129.6 points in the upcoming release. Still, key US data is more of a market-mover than Swiss numbers, and a softer than expected US GDP report earlier today has sent the US dollar lower.

Powell non-committal to a September taper

The FOMC policy meeting was keenly anticipated, but in the end the Fed veered away from any tapering announcement. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the economy would need to recover millions of jobs and inflation would need to be persistent for the Fed would consider a taper in September. This gives the Fed two months of inflation and employment data to determine if they can start scaling back asset purchases. The takeaway from the FOMC meeting is that the Fed remains dovish and the very earliest we would see a taper is the September meeting.

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USD/CHF Technical

  • USD/CHF faces resistance at 0.9157. Above, there is resistance at 0.9195
  • On the downside, the pair is testing support at 0.9079. This is followed by 0.8810, a monthly support line

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar. www.marketpulse.com/economic-event

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Market Analyst at OANDA
A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities. His work has been published in several major online financial publications including Investing.com, Seeking Alpha and FXStreet. Based in Israel, Kenny has been a MarketPulse contributor since 2012.
Kenny Fisher

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