Gold tanks, Oil turns negative , Bitcoin lower

Oil

Crude prices gave up earlier gains after a surprisingly hawkish FOMC dot plot sent both Treasury yields and the dollar higher.  WTI crude rose after a mostly bullish EIA crude oil inventory report.   Americans are traveling as jet fuel demand improved to the highest level since the end of May and as gasoline demand rose by 900,000 bpd.

Saudi Energy minister noted that the oil market is not out of the woods yet and that the OPEC+ cautious approach is paying off. 

The short-term rebound in the dollar will likely be a speed bump in WTI crude’s path higher. 

Gold

Gold lost its mojo after the Fed’s latest economic projections showed the last call for stimulus was nearing.  The Fed’s hawkish pivot is a major buzzkill for gold bulls that could see some momentum selling over the short-term.  Short-term Treasury yields will continue to rise and that should provide some underlying support for the dollar, which will keep commodities vulnerable. 

Despite the recent weakness for gold over the past week, gold’s medium-and-longer term outlook remains bullish.  The line in the sand that needs to be defended for bullish bullion investors is the $1,800 level.   

Cryptos

Bitcoin pulled back after testing the upper boundaries of its recent $30,000 to $41,000 trading range.  Bitcoin needs to add another log on the fire to get cryptocurrency traders excited.  Following the El Salvador commitment to Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency community is awaiting which country is next.  Bitcoin either needs to show progress on becoming carbon neutral or have a couple more countries accept Bitcoin as legal tender. 

A stronger dollar sent Bitcoin tumbling as all risky assets sold off. Bitcoin’s consolidation phase should continue a while longer.  

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Senior Market Analyst, The Americas at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a senior market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute intermarket analysis, coverage of geopolitical events, central bank policies and market reaction to corporate news. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business and Sky TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most renowned global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Breitbart, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
Ed Moya