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Bullish EIA report lifts oil, gold rises

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Oil rally continues

Crude prices got another vote of confidence from an EIA crude oil inventory report that showed the demand recovery is accelerating.  Last night’s API data showed a weekly decline of 7.7 million barrels, so that took some of the oomph out of today’s EIA headline draw of 7.99 million barrels. US production remained below 11-million barrels and refiner utilization is now at post-pandemic highs.

A bullish EIA crude oil inventory sent Brent crude higher but was unable to break the psychological USD70 level.  The path higher for oil is there; energy markets just need to see that the situation in India does not worsen over the next couple of weeks.

Gold

Gold prices survived Treasury Secretary Yellen’s miscommunication on interest rates and could be making another attempt at cracking the USD1,800 level.  Gold prices are strengthening after Treasury yields pared an advance that stemmed from a knee-jerk reaction to the refunding announcement that contained a warning that US debt-limit tools could run out faster.

A round of Fed speak from Evans and Bowman also provided some support for gold.  Evans noted that the risk of spiraling inflation was remote still and Bowman noted she won’t be overly concerned by the brief rise to 3% inflation.  The Fed’s ultra-accommodative stance is confirmed and a mixed global economic recovery is just what gold needs to join the super commodity cycle party.

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Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Contributing Author at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya was a Senior Market Analyst with OANDA for the Americas from November 2018 to November 2023. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Prior to OANDA he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business, cheddar news, and CoinDesk TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most respected global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Seeking Alpha, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.
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