UK Realized Sales could turn positive

The British pound has posted slight gains at the start of the week. In the North American session, GDP/USD is trading at 1.3894, up 0.14% on the day.

The pound punched above the symbolic 1.40 level last week and appeared poised to make further gains against a struggling US dollar. However, the pound has settled down and is trading close to the 1.39 level.

On Tuesday, the UK releases CBI Realized Sales for April (10:00 GMT).  This indicator measures sales volume, an important indicator of consumer spending. Realized Sales has posted only one gain in the past eight readings. The previous two readings have been at -45, which points to a sharp drop in sales volume. The forecast for April stands at +9, and a reading above zero would be a huge improvement.

The market will be keeping a keen eye on the FOMC meeting on Wednesday (18:00 GMT). The Federal Reserve has insisted that it will not stray from its dovish stance, but as the economy heats up and inflation moves higher, the market will be looking closely for any clues about tapering QE.

The Fed may not provide those sought-after hints, but is likely to provide a statement that will reflect a more optimistic tone about economic conditions, as the economy is showing clear signs that the recovery is gaining steam. A positive message from the Fed could give some support to the ailing US dollar. Still, Fed Chair Powell is unlikely to make any announcements about tapering QE. Powell has said he would telegraph tapering to the market, but his recent comment that the economy is at an “inflection point” appears to indicate that a taper is not imminent.

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GBP/USD Technical Analysis

  • There is resistance at 1.3993, followed by resistance at 1.4100
  • There is support at 1.3794. Below, there is support at 1.3702

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar. www.marketpulse.com/economic-events/

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Market Analyst at OANDA
A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities. His work has been published in several major online financial publications including Investing.com, Seeking Alpha and FXStreet. Based in Israel, Kenny has been a MarketPulse contributor since 2012.
Kenny Fisher

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