Oil
Crude prices are rallying as the reflation trade continues and as the COVID situation improves in Europe. Brent is eyeing the $60 level now that OPEC+ has successfully eased most supply side concerns and optimism on the COVID front improves globally.
Oil was unfazed by the disappointing employment report but did catch a bid once the dollar dropped. The fundamentals remain solid for crude, but a consolidation seems likely given the recent runup.
Gold
Gold prices got a much-needed boost following a disappointing nonfarm payroll report that cemented the need for more fiscal and monetary stimulus. Gold is trying to hold the $1,800 line and that could be the case if the dollar rebound is over. The technical selling that is building for gold is significant and could trigger a drop towards the $1,750 level. Gold is nearing a death-cross but strong longer-term stimulus fundamentals should alleviate concerns that a complete abandonment of safe-havens is upon us.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin is rallying after a disappointing jobs report signals more stimulus is likely. A thorn in Bitcoin’s bullish outlook this year was a rebounding dollar, but that could be over. Bitcoin is eyeing another run towards $39,000 and if it is successful, momentum trading could easily have prices settle above the $40,000 level. If retail and institutional interest continues to grow over the next month, Bitcoin could target the $45,000 level.
This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.
Ed Moya