Euro resumes rally on German mfg. data

After a brief pause on Friday, the euro has resumed its upswing early in the trading week. Currently, EUR/USD is trading at 1.2158, up 0.31% on the day.

Euro 

The week ended on a bright note, as German Factory Orders rose 2.9% in October, up from sharply from 0.5% beforehand. This points to growth in the manufacturing sector, a vital driver of economic growth in the eurozone’s largest economy. On Monday, German Industrial Production, which is also related to manufacturing, posted a respectable gain of 3.2% in October, up from 1.6% a month earlier. Investor mood appears to be improving in the eurozone, as Sentix Investor Confidence for December came in at -2.7, compared to -10 in the previous release. This marked the smallest decline since March.

The euro has been on a tear against the hapless US dollar. Last week, EUR/USD rose 1.3% and touched a high of 1.2177, its highest level since April 2018. The skies appear bright blue for the euro, but traders shouldn’t get carried away just yet, as there is a major bump in the road. The Brexit talks between the EU and the UK remain at an impasse, with just over three weeks left until December 31st, when the UK will withdraw from the bloc. The financial markets have tended to focus on the dire ramifications of a no-deal Brexit on the UK economy, but the eurozone economy would also be adversely affected if the intricate trade relationship between the EU and UK is suddenly uprooted, and tariffs and border checks replace the seamless movement of goods. Such a scenario would likely rain on the euro’s party.

EUR/USD Technical

  • EUR/USD has tested resistance at 1.2162. Above, the next resistance line is at 1.2203
  • There is support for the pair at 1.2095, followed by a support line at 1.2069

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Market Analyst at OANDA
A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities. His work has been published in several major online financial publications including Investing.com, Seeking Alpha and FXStreet. Based in Israel, Kenny has been a MarketPulse contributor since 2012.