Gold enjoys temporary reprieve
Gold is finally enjoying some reprieve after finding some support just ahead of the USD1,750-1,760 region, which coincides with the highs of late spring/early summer. The level coincided with the 50% fib level from the pandemic lows to highs and may be responsible for the sudden surge in buying interest. It may also be a little premature.
It’s been an impressive rebound today, with the price climbing back above USD1,800 in the process. But there are some major obstacles ahead and I’m not convinced it has the stomach for the fight at the moment. I think the rally may well face significant counter-pressure in the near-term, particularly around USD1,850, should it get that far.
Still, it is encouraging for gold. The USD1,690-USD1,760 region is big for the yellow metal and could be a major test of its bullish prospects over the medium term. I think this area will be tested a little more before it has a proper run higher, with another flurry of stimulus this month potentially being the catalyst for such a move.
Bitcoin continues to flirt with USD20,000
Bitcoin hit fresh highs today but has once again retreated ahead of the psychologically significant USD$20,000 level. I think the rally could kick into a higher gear if this level is overcome, likely lifting the rest of the space with it. Interest is only going to increase as we dive deeper into record territory which has historically been very positive in the near-term for prices.
Whether that is fundamentally warranted though is another thing and the more aggressive the rally, the more of a concern it becomes. It has a history of coming down in flames after hype-driven surges. There’s nothing to suggest that wouldn’t happen again.
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