Tale of two sectors for British PMIs

GBP/USD has started the new trading week on a positive note. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.3332, up 0.35% on the day.

PMIs head in opposite directions

Two critical sectors of the British economy are heading in opposite directions, according to the latest PMI reports. Manufacturing accelerated further into expansionary territory in October, as Manufacturing PMI rose from 53.3 to 55.2 points. This marked a 3-month high and easily surpassed the estimate of 50.5 points. Manufacturing has weathered the Covid storm nicely, with the PMI rebounding after posting declines earlier in the year. However, it should be pointed out that the strong October release can be attributed to an increase in domestic and export orders ahead of the Brexit deadline in just five weeks.

It was a different story entirely in the services sector. The Services PMI slowed to 45.8, which was a sharp drop from the previous reading of 55.1 points. After rising to 60.1 in July, the PMI has dropped over three straight months and finds itself in contraction territory, below the neutral-50 level. Business activity was hit particularly hard by the lockdowns earlier in the year, with the PMI fell as low as 12.3 in March, marking a massive contraction in service sector output.

Markets hopeful for Brexit breakthrough

There has rarely been a dull moment in the Brexit saga since the stunning referendum back in June 2016. There was another twist late last week, as face-to-face talks had to be suspended when a Eurozone negotiator contracted Covid. Virtual negotiations are continuing, and the British media is reporting that a deal is 95% complete. At the same time, there are still some outstanding issues, such as fishery rights.  With the UK poised to set sail from the EU on December 31st, it will be no mean feat to hammer out a deal in time.

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GBP/USD Technical

  • There is support at 1.3201, followed by a support line at 1.3110
  • GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.3347, followed by resistance is 1.3422
  • The pair remains slightly above the 10-day MA line

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Market Analyst at OANDA
A highly experienced financial market analyst with a focus on fundamental analysis, Kenneth Fisher’s daily commentary covers a broad range of markets including forex, equities and commodities. His work has been published in several major online financial publications including Investing.com, Seeking Alpha and FXStreet. Based in Israel, Kenny has been a MarketPulse contributor since 2012.
Kenny Fisher

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