NZD/USD climbs to 4-week high

NZD/USD continues to rally and has gained ground in Friday trading. In the European session, the pair is trading at 0.6699, up 0.35% on the day.

New Zealand dollar rallies above 67 level

The New Zealand dollar is poised to record its best week since August. NZD/USD has gained 1.4% so far this week, and the pair is in green territory for a third straight day. The kiwi has gained more ground as New Zealand inflation rebounded in impressive fashion in the third quarter. CPI gained 0.7%, after a decline of 0.5% in Q2. The reading was shy of the forecast of 0.9%, but investors were impressed with the bounce back in inflation. The positive sentiment lifted the New Zealand dollar above the round number of 0.6700 in Friday’s Asian session, the first time we’ve seen that since September 21st.

Will RBNZ introduce negative rates?

New Zealand’s central bank has dropped hints that it could implement negative rates, a scenario which is being heard from other major central banks in this period of ultra-low interest rate levels. Negative interest rates would likely cause the New Zealand currency to depreciate, as investors would want to shift their assets into currencies that offer more attractive interest rates. Recent New Zealand economic data has been mixed, making it difficult to project when the RBNZ might slash interest rates below zero. However, the robust CPI release is an important sign that the economic recovery is gaining steam, which makes a rate cut less likely. The Official Cash Rate has been pegged at 0.25% since March, and a negative rate scenario is unlikely before April 2021, at the earliest.

US Open – Time for talking running out

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NZD/USD Technical

  • NZD/USD broke above 0.6699 in the Asian session. Close by is the next resistance line is at 0.6723
  • There is support at 0.6642, followed by support at 0.6609
  • NZD/USD broke above the 20-day MA line on Wednesday and the pair continues to move higher

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.
Kenny Fisher

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