AUD/USD slips on dovish RBA minutes

The Australian dollar has registered considerable losses on Tuesday. In North American trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7028, down 0.57% on the day.

RBA minutes send Aussie lower

The Australian dollar finds itself under strong pressure. AUD/USD fell to a low of 0.7027 on Tuesday, its lowest level since September 28th. The Aussie has coughed up almost 3 percent in just over a week, and the RBA minutes have added to the woes of the currency.

The minutes indicated that policymakers support a rate cut, and analysts have circled November 3rd, which is the bank’s next policy meeting. The minutes showed that the catalysts for lowering rates were the high value of the Australian dollar and the economic downturn caused by the lockdown in Victoria State.

If the RBA trims rates, it would likely lower rates to a record low of just 0.10%. There could be further rate cuts in the works; RBA Assistant Governor Kent said on Tuesday that further easing could send rates into negative territory. This is not the first time that the RBA has said negative rates are on the table, but with another rate cut a foregone conclusion, the spectre of negative rates has become more realistic, and this will put more pressure on the Australian dollar, as investors will be looking for more attractive alternatives to park their funds.

In addition to a rate cut at the November meeting, the RBA is expected to announce new quantitative easing in the form of large-scale bond purchases. With the central bank expected to implement further monetary easing, AUD/USD bond yield spreads have dropped lower, as 2-year and 5-year yields have both fallen into negative territory.

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AUD/USD Technical

  • There is resistance at 0.7099, which is protecting the 0.7100 level. The next resistance line is 0.7135.
  • AUD/USD is testing support at 0.7025. This is followed by support at 0.6995

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.
Kenny Fisher

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