USD/CAD steady, Nonfarm Payrolls next

The Canadian dollar is trading quietly in Friday trade. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3318, up 0.22% on the day. If the Canadian dollar can end the day on a positive note, it would mark the first winning week for the currency in a month.

All eyes on US Nonfarm Payrolls

The US releases Nonfarm Payrolls later on Friday (12:30 GMT) and this event could trigger volatility in the markets. The forecast stands at 900 thousand jobs, but if the ADP Nonfarm report is any indication, the release could be higher than expected. Earlier in the week, the ADP report showed that 749 thousand jobs were created, a huge jump from 428 thousand. As well, the reading was well above the estimate of 650 thousand. If the official nonfarm payrolls report follows suit and beats expectations, it would be a positive sign that the labor market has picked up and that the economy is moving in the right direction. This could boost risk appetite and support the Canadian dollar. Conversely, a soft reading would likely dampen risk appetite and weigh on minor currencies like the Canadian dollar.

Canada manufacturing, GDP point upward

This week’s data out of Canada was positive, an indication that the economic recovery is gaining traction. Canada’s manufacturing sector continues to improve after a difficult second quarter. The Manufacturing PMI accelerated for a fifth straight month in September, with a reading of 56.0, well into expansionary territory. The PMI has steadily rebounded since a poor reading of 33.0 in May, which indicated a sharp contraction. As well, GDP in July showed growth for a third straight month with a gain of 3.0%.

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USD/CAD Technical

  • 1.3319 is under pressure in resistance and was tested earlier in the day. This is followed by resistance at 1.3352
  • 1.3261 is providing support. Below, there is support at 1.3236
  • USD/CAD broke below the 10-day MA line earlier in the week, which indicates a downward trend for the pair

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.