EUR/USD steady ahead of German GDP

The euro has started the week in positive territory. Currently, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1847, up 0.45% on the day. On the fundamental front, the focus will be on German numbers on Tuesday, with the release of Final GDP and Ifo Business Climate.

German GDP decline hits double digits

German GDP plunged 10.1% in the second quarter and the second estimate is expected to confirm this double-digit swoon. The eurozone’s number one economy has been hit hard by the Covid-19, as German consumer spending and exports were down sharply in the second quarter. The euro posted gains against the US dollar in Q2, but this is more a result of greenback weakness rather than solid underpinnings on the part of the euro. The sharp contraction in German GDP is a sober reminder that the eurozone economy remains in poor shape, and the euro could see rougher waters ahead.

Also on Tuesday, Germany releases Ifo Business Climate. The business sector is showing stronger confidence, as the indicator has accelerated over three successive months. In July, business confidence rose to 90.5, up from 86.2 beforehand. The estimate for August stands at 92.5.


EUR/USD Technical


EUR/USD posted small gains in the Asian session and this trend has continued in European trade

  • 1.1868 is the next resistance line, followed by resistance at 1.1939
  • 1.1811 is a weak support line. Below, there is support at 1.1740
  • The 10-day MA line remains relevant and is situated very close to the pair

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.