AUD/USD at six-month high on RBA optimism

The Australian dollar is showing little movement in Friday trade. AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.7185, down 0.10% on the day.

Slowly but surely, the Australian dollar continues to creep higher against the US dollar. The Aussie last registered a losing week in mid-June and has gained close to 5.0% during this period. AUD/USD touched a high of 0.7275 earlier this week, its highest level since February. What is perhaps most impressive of the Aussie rally is that investors have given the currency a thumbs-up, despite the severe global economic conditions. Traditionally, safe-haven assets such as the US dollar move higher in times of crisis, at the expense of risk currencies such as the Australian dollar. This has not been the case, however, during the Covid-19 pandemic, as the US dollar has suffered broad losses against its major rivals.

RBA minutes optimistic about the economy

It hasn’t been flashy, but AUD/USD remains in positive territory this week, after two mid-week releases. On the consumer front, the ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 88.6, up from 85.5 beforehand. This was the first time that the index has shown a gain since mid-June. As well, the Reserve Bank of Australia released the minutes of its most recent policy meeting. Members said that there was no need to ease policy for the time being, as the steps it had taken were working “broadly as expected”, as the economy was undergoing a recovery. Although the bank remains in accommodative mode, the bank does appear more optimistic, which is good news for the Australian dollar.

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AUD/USD Technical

AUD/USD posted losses in the Asian session but has recovered most of these losses in European trade

  • 0.7153 is the next support level. This is followed by support at 0.7111, protecting the symbolic 0.7000 level
  • There is resistance at 0.7219. The next resistance line is 0.7243
  • The 10-day MA is under downward pressure from the pair. If this line breaks, it would be a bearish signal for the pair

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.