Gold gains as virus fears outweigh strong U.S. jobs data

Gold prices rose on Friday as fears of an economic slowdown from the coronavirus outbreak and lower interest rates globally offset strong U.S. economic data.

Spot gold rose 0.1% to $1,568.10 per ounce by 1532 GMT but was down about 1.3% this week. It was on track for the biggest weekly loss since early November.

U.S. gold futures rose 0.1% to $1,571.90.

“The market seems to be growing more nervous about the outbreak in China,” said Tai Wong, head of base and precious metals derivatives trading at BMO. “This sharp, fast, counterintuitive reaction in gold is very telling. There’s good demand here in the face of a very strong economic signal.”

U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 225,000 jobs last month, data showed, higher than 160,000 jobs additions expected by a Reuters poll.

Fears of a global economic slowdown and uncertainty around the coronavirus are keeping gold supported, Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at broker OANDA.

The coronavirus outbreak in China that has killed more than 600 people and infected thousands, has dented investor interest in riskier assets.

“A big jump in reported cases or even harsher quarantine measures that contravene the story of the official numbers could push gold back to $1,600 level. However, some incontrovertible good news out of China and/or a sharp bond sell-off could trigger a reversal,” BMO’s Wong said.

Also supporting gold were low interest rates by major central banks across the globe and their quantitative easing policy.

The U.S. Federal Reserve kept benchmark interest rates unchanged at its January policy meeting, citing moderate economic growth and a strong jobs market.

Gold is a safe haven that investors turn to in times of economic and financial uncertainty, and lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding metal.

Limiting gold’s advance, however, the dollar rose to its strongest against major rivals since mid-October.

“The environment for gold is still supportive and a clear breakthrough of $1,575 could open space for another rally to the key threshold of $1,600,” ActivTrades chief analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa said.

Elsewhere, palladium fell 2% to $2,298.87 an ounce but was on track for its first weekly gain in three.

Silver slipped 0.7% to $17.69, set for its worst week in two months, while platinum rose 0.1% to $962.76.


This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Senior Market Analyst at OANDA
With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute fundamental analysis of geo-political events and monetary policies in the US, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa. Over the course of his career, he has worked with some of the world’s leading forex brokerages and research departments including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including BNN, CNBC, Fox Business, and Bloomberg. He is often quoted in leading print and online publications such as the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post. He holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University. Follow Ed on Twitter @edjmoya ‏
Ed Moya