Daily Markets Broadcast 2019-10-18

Daily Markets Broadcast

2019-10-18

Wall Street rallies on earnings, Brexit deal

US indices closed higher yesterday following more strong banks’ earnings reports. British PM Boris Johnson has done the easy part, negotiating a deal with Europe, now he has the tough task of getting it passed in Parliament. A Turkey-Syria ceasefire also helped sentiment. China releases Q3 growth numbers today.

 

US30USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The US30 index reversed early losses to finish higher yesterday as banks’ earning continue to meet or beat expectations
  • The index has been pivoting around the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from September 12 to October 3 at 26,974. The 100-day moving average has risen to 26,552
  • It’s an almost barren US data/events slate today with speeches from Fed’s George, Kaplan and Clarida the only items on tap.

 

DE30EUR Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • The Germany30 index spiked to a 14-1/2 month high on the Brexit deal news but gave back those gains to close in the red for the first time in seven days as the difficulties facing British PM Johnson in getting it passed by Parliament became apparent
  • The index failed to get past the July 2018 high of 12,890. A possible candlestick Doji pattern may be forming, which would require a lower close today to be confirmed
  • The only major data point today is the Euro-zone’s current account balance for August, which is expected to show a seasonally-adjusted widening of the surplus to €26.7b from €20.6b in July.

 

CN50USD Daily Chart

Source: OANDA fxTrade

  • China shares hovered near 2-month highs yesterday as the market braces for third quarter growth numbers today
  • A better-than-forecast print could see the index challenge the 2018 high at 14,928
  • Surveys suggest the Chinese economy grew 6.1% y/y in the third quarter, a slower pace than Q2’s +6.2%. Forecasts range from +5.9% to +6.2%, according to a Bloomberg survey, and a sub-6% print would be bad for the index and risk appetite generally.

 

 

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Andrew Robinson

Andrew Robinson

Senior Market Analyst at MarketPulse
A seasoned professional with more than 30 years’ experience in foreign exchange, interest rates and commodities, Andrew Robinson is a senior market analyst with OANDA, responsible for providing timely and relevant market commentary and live market analysis throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Having previously worked in Europe, since moving to Singapore he worked with several leading institutions including Bloomberg, Saxo Capital Markets and Informa Global Markets, proving FX strategies based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis as well as market flow information. Andrew began his career as an FX dealer with NatWest and the Royal Bank of Scotland in the UK.
Andrew Robinson

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